Washington DC - According to a new poll of Arab American voters released on October 27, most Arab Americans view President Donald Trump as having failed to address the issues that are most important to their community. As a result, most Arab Americans say they plan to vote for former Vice President Joe Biden. The poll, conducted by the Arab American Institute, found that Biden’s advantage with Arab American voters is strongest in the critical battleground states of Michigan—where they comprise 5% of the vote—and Ohio and Pennsylvania—where they comprise between 1.7% and 2% of likely voters.
James Zogby will provide an analysis of the findings during his weekly Coffee and a Column tomorrow at 2 pm ET. Please register here.
The poll’s major findings are:
● 59% of Arab Americans plan on voting for Joe Biden and 35% plan to vote for Donald Trump.
● Joe Biden is viewed favorably by 74% of Arab Americans and unfavorably by 25%; Trump’s favorable/unfavorable rating is 48%/51%.
● More than 80% of Arab Americans say they are very likely to vote this year. 52% of Democrats say they are voting early or by mail, while 62% of Republicans will vote in person on Nov. 3.
● 40% of Arab Americans say their top concern this election is deteriorating race relations, followed by the economy (23%), health care (21%), the environment (17%), and Social Security/Medicare (10%). On all of these issues besides the economy, Biden is viewed more favorably.
● Biden leads across religious groups: Among Arab Americans, Biden is leading among Muslims (60% to Trump’s 30%), Catholics (55% to 43%), and naturalized citizens (64% to 23%).
● Biden leads across age groups: Young Arab Americans support Biden 67% to Trump’s 27%, and seniors support Biden 66% to Trump’s 26%.
● Arab Americans support the Black Lives Matter movement: 70% say they have a positive view of the nationwide demonstrations, and 74% criticize policing practices in the US. 49% said Biden would be better at improving race relations, compared to 33% for Trump.
● 40% of Arab Americans are Democrats and 33% are Republicans, narrower than the 52%/26% split during the 2016 election.
“The most interesting finding in this poll isn’t that Biden has a large lead or that Trump has galvanized Republican support,” said James Zogby, president of the Arab American Institute. “It’s that Arab Americans see deteriorating race relations as the most important issue in this election.” These findings have major implications for the outcome of the election, especially in the crucial swing states with the highest concentrations of Arab American voters.
Register here for tomorrow's Coffee and a Column at 2 pm ET.
Arab American Institute Foundation
1600 K Street, NW, Suite 601
Washington, DC 20006